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Working Paper: Charting an Ambitious U.S. NDC of 51% Reductions by 2030

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2021 is a critical year for climate ambition and action globally and in the United States. After four years without federal engagement, the Biden-Harris Administration has made climate a centerpiece of its policy agenda. President Biden campaigned on a commitment to achieve economy-wide decarbonization by 2050 and 100% clean electricity by 2035. Having recently formally re-joined the Paris Agreement, the administration has announced its intent to deliver a new national climate target to the international community, known as a nationally-determined contribution, or NDC, by April 22.

Our analysis shows that a comprehensive federal effort across all sectors and gases could deliver U.S. GHG emissions reductions of 51% below 2005 levels by 2030. This would put the U.S. on a trajectory to net-zero emissions in 2050, consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5ºC.


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School Authors: Nathan Hultman

Other Authors: Sander Chan, Idil Boran , Harro van Asselt, Paula Ellinger, Miriam Garcia, Thomas Hale, Lukas Hermwille, Kennedy Liti Mbeva, Ayşem Mert, Charles B. Roger, Amy Weinfurter, Oscar Widerberg, Paulette Bynoe, Victoria Chengo, Ayman Cherkaoui, Todd Edwards, Malin Gütschow, Angel Hsu, David Levaï, Saffran Mihnar, Sara Posa, Mark Roelfsema, Bryce Rudyk, Michelle Scobie, Manish Kumar Shrivastava