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Working Paper: Charting an Ambitious U.S. NDC of 51% Reductions by 2030

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2021 is a critical year for climate ambition and action globally and in the United States. After four years without federal engagement, the Biden-Harris Administration has made climate a centerpiece of its policy agenda. President Biden campaigned on a commitment to achieve economy-wide decarbonization by 2050 and 100% clean electricity by 2035. Having recently formally re-joined the Paris Agreement, the administration has announced its intent to deliver a new national climate target to the international community, known as a nationally-determined contribution, or NDC, by April 22.

Our analysis shows that a comprehensive federal effort across all sectors and gases could deliver U.S. GHG emissions reductions of 51% below 2005 levels by 2030. This would put the U.S. on a trajectory to net-zero emissions in 2050, consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5ºC.


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School Authors: Allen Fawcett, Gokul Iyer, Alicia Zhao

Other Authors: John Bistline, Aaron Bergman, Geoffrey Blanford, Maxwell Brown, Dallas Burtraw, Maya Domeshek, Anne Hamilton, Jesse Jenkins, Ben King, Hannah Kolus, Amanda Levin, Qian Luo, Kevin Rennert, Molly Robertson, Nicholas Roy, Ethan Russell, Daniel Shawhan, Daniel Steinberg, Anna van Brummen, Grace Van Horn, Aranya Venkatesh, John Weyant, Ryan Wiser